Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.046111 0.053784 0.062324 0.072533 0.084408 0.097785 0.114004
2025-10-26 0.034491 0.044585 0.057001 0.073396 0.094484 0.120711 0.155842
2025-11-02 0.028190 0.039422 0.054337 0.075588 0.105105 0.144694 0.201917
2025-11-09 0.022546 0.033638 0.049323 0.073112 0.108310 0.158537 0.235816
2025-11-16 0.019072 0.030090 0.046539 0.072870 0.114010 0.175936 0.276489
2025-11-23 0.016318 0.027061 0.043894 0.072169 0.118544 0.191750 0.316462
2025-11-30 0.014565 0.025274 0.042809 0.073580 0.126324 0.213262 0.367961
2025-12-07 0.012744 0.023063 0.040660 0.072817 0.130235 0.228733 0.411212
2025-12-14 0.011043 0.020787 0.038046 0.070806 0.131576 0.239790 0.447969
2025-12-21 0.009612 0.018776 0.035602 0.068701 0.132349 0.249744 0.483746
2025-12-28 0.008847 0.017898 0.035089 0.070066 0.139651 0.272330 0.545809
2026-01-04 0.008065 0.016869 0.034143 0.070440 0.145028 0.291818 0.604210
2026-01-11 0.007333 0.015859 0.033133 0.070614 0.150163 0.311726 0.666673
2026-01-18 0.006775 0.015133 0.032606 0.071717 0.157365 0.336715 0.743088
2026-01-25 0.006374 0.014687 0.032599 0.073912 0.167149 0.368215 0.837520
2026-02-01 0.005643 0.013404 0.030619 0.071501 0.166505 0.377311 0.883740
2026-02-08 0.005164 0.012630 0.029664 0.071267 0.170709 0.397515 0.957718
2026-02-15 0.004708 0.011845 0.028580 0.070581 0.173754 0.415419 1.028598
2026-02-22 0.004432 0.011458 0.028375 0.071961 0.181890 0.446078 1.134028
2026-03-01 0.004057 0.010772 0.027361 0.071216 0.184703 0.464365 1.211290
2026-03-08 0.003655 0.009963 0.025940 0.069249 0.184175 0.474399 1.268934
2026-03-15 0.003293 0.009205 0.024554 0.067190 0.183138 0.483013 1.324003
2026-03-22 0.003125 0.008954 0.024449 0.068525 0.191268 0.516133 1.448729